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Monday, October 5, 2015

National Organization for Marriage Champions continue to lose their GOP jousting matches

We're tracking the Real Clear Politics averaging of all polls and posting how the NOM champions are faring in the overall Trumparty nomination race. RCP ranks the top 16 of the candidates: Jim Gilmore remains the Invisible Man.

In this dataset, Carson's "I'm not crazy, my positions just make you think I am" campaign has picked up a point.He remains the #2. Ted Cruz, mired at #6, continue his steady downward trajectory. 

Bobby Jindal had a breakout week. He emerged from his 11th place tie with Santorum in sole possession of the slot. Santorum, for his part- like Cruz- seems to lose a tenth of a point a week. But he has fewer tenths to lose.

As a group, NOM's Champions now command 6.12% of the Republican vote. Without Carson, it would be 2.4%.

Here, from the RCP averages for September 17-September 28, is latest standings, preceded by the weeks since we began tracking the NOM Champions: 

1. Ben Carson 

Average Poll Rating 8/9-25: 10.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2 
Average Poll Rating 8/11-9/2: 13.2% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2

Average Poll Rating 8/20-9/8: 16% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2
Average Poll Rating 8/31-9/19: 18.8% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2

Average Poll Rating 9/17-9/22: 16.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2
Average Poll Rating 9/17- 9/28: 16.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 2

Average Poll Rating 9/17- 10/1: 17.3% Overall Field Ranking: 2

2. Ted Cruz 

Average Poll Rating 8/9-25: 7.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 5 
Average Poll Rating 8/11-9/2: 7.2% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 5

Average Poll Rating 8/20-9/8: 7% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 4
Average Poll Rating 8/31-9/19: 6.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 5

Average Poll Rating 9/17-9/22: 6.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 6
Average Poll Rating 9/17- 9/28: 6.2% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 6

Average Poll Rating 9/17- 10/1: 6.1% Overall Field Ranking: 6

4. Bobby Jindal 

Average Poll Rating 8/9-25: 0.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 14 
Average Poll Rating 8/11-9/2: 0.2% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 14

Average Poll Rating 8/20-9/8: 0.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 14
Average Poll Rating 8/31-9/19: 0.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 14

Average Poll Rating 9/17-9/22: 0.3% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 14
Average Poll Rating 9/17- 9/28: 0.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 11 (tie)

Average Poll Rating 9/17- 10/1: 0.5% Overall Field Ranking: 11

4. Rick Santorum 

Average Poll Rating 8/9-25: 1% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 13 
Average Poll Rating 8/11-9/2: 1% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 13

Average Poll Rating 8/20-9/8: 1% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 12
Average Poll Rating 8/31-9/19: 0.8% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 13 

Average Poll Rating 9/17-9/22: 0.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 13
Average Poll Rating 9/17- 9/28: 0.5% Avg. Overall Field Ranking: 11 (tie)

Average Poll Rating 9/17- 10/1: 0.4% Overall Field Ranking: 12


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Average 8/9-25 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 4.77% 
Average 8/11-9/2 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 5.35% 

Average 8/20-9/8 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 6.07% 
Average 8/31-9/19 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 6.4% 

Average 9/17-9/22 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 5.9% 
Average 9/17-9/28 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 5.87% 

Average 9/17- 10/1 Poll Rating of the Marriage Champions as a group: 6.12% 

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